Thursday, October 18, 2012

2010 International Business & Economics Research article


This posting shows similarities between wording in the following article by Douglas Agbetsiafa and wording in the works of other, earlier published authors:

Agbetsiafa, Douglas K. (2010) Regional Integration, Trade Openness, and Economic Growth: Causality Evidence from UEMOA countries. International Business and Economics Research, 9(10):  55-68.  
Available at: http://journals.cluteonline.com/index.php/IBER/article/view/639.

Douglas Agbetsiafa is Professor of Economics and Chair of the Economics Area at Indiana University South Bend (IUSB).  He holds a PhD in Economics from the University of Notre Dame.  That PhD also contains similar wording to the works of earlier published authors.

From Agbetsiafa’s article, page 55:         

The UEMOA[1] is a monetary union which encompasses most of France’s former colonies in the area. The current member states are Benin, Burkina Faso, Cote d’Ivoire, Mali, Niger, Senegal Togo, and Guinea Bissau who joined later in 1997. It forms part of the Franc Zone, the other main component of which is a second monetary union, the Economic and Monetary Community of Central Africa (CEMAC). The cornerstone of the Franc Zone is the use of currencies that the French Treasury guarantees to exchange for Euros at a fixed rate. All member states of the Union have in common the use of a common currency, the CFA franc.
Cite given in sentence is to:
Adelman, I., 1984. Beyond Export-Led Growth. World Development, 12, pp. 937-49.

Compare this to:

The UEMOA is a monetary union arising from the final phase of French colonialism in West Africa (1948-1962), and encompasses most of France’s former colonies in the area. The current member states are Benin, Burkina Faso, Cote d’Ivoire, Guinea-Bissau,1 Mali, Niger, Senegal and Togo. It forms part of the Franc Zone, the other main component of which is a second monetary union, the Economic and Monetary Community of Central Africa (CEMAC). The cornerstone of the Franc Zone is the use of currencies that the French Treasury guarantees to exchange for Euros at a fixed rate.
[See pages 2-3]

From Agbetsiafa’s article, page 55:

The enduring institutional link with the former colonial power gives the UEMOA countries an unusually high level of financial stability, compared to other African countries with similar levels of economic development.

Compare this to:

The enduring institutional link with the former colonial power gives the UEMOA countries an unusually high level of financial stability, compared to other African countries with similar levels of economic development
[See page 4]

From Agbetsiafa’s article, page 56:

The Union has established a common accounting system, periodic reviews of member countries’ macroeconomic policies based on convergence criteria, a regional stock exchange, and regulatory framework for a regional banking system Six of the eight member countries are eligible for trade benefits under African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA), and four of these countries – Benin, Burkina Faso, Mali, and Senegal – are also eligible to receive AGOA’s textile and apparel.

Compare this to:

UEMOA has established a common accounting system, periodic reviews of member countries' macroeconomic policies based on convergence criteria, a regional stock exchange, and the legal and regulatory framework for a regional banking system.
Six of the eight UEMOA member countries are eligible for trade benefits under African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA), and four of these countries - Benin, Burkina Faso, Mali, and Senegal - are also eligible to receive AGOA's textile and apparel benefits.
[See paragraphs 2 and 3]

From Agbetsiafa’s article, page 56:

International trade may induce economic growth in several ways, including by increasing a country’s level of specialization, and positively affecting innovation and technological diffusion (Harrison, 1996). Conversely, economic development may also trigger a country’s level of trade openness, e.g. with shifts in production and demand patterns as well as increased levels of international integration that accompany national industrialization experiences. Empirically, Edwards (1998) provides some evidence for the hypothesis that trade openness leads economic growth, finding that more open economies experience greater productivity growth. In contrast, Rodriguez and Rodrik (2001) find only limited support for a strong and positive link between openness and economic development.

Compare this to:

… may induce economic growth in several ways, including by increasing a country’s level of specialization and positively affecting innovation and technological diffusion (Harrison, 1996). Conversely, economic development may also trigger a country’s level of trade openness, e.g. with shifts in production and demand patterns as well as increased levels of international integration that accompany national industrialization experiences. Empirically, Edwards (1998) provides some empirical evidence for the hypothesis that trade openness leads economic growth, finding that more open economies experience greater productivity growth. In contrast, Rodriguez and Rodrik (2001) find only limited support for a strong and positive link between openness and economic development.

From Agbetsiafa’s article, page 57:

The classical and neoclassical theory seeks to explain the benefits from trade by contrasting the likely outcomes that might prevail with free trade than with autarky. Central to the classical and neoclassical theory is the notion of comparative advantage that would lead to an efficient reallocation of international resources, largely due to specialization and division of labor. In the conventional theory, the gains from trade come from the import side. However, exports have an indirect but pivotal role as “exports allow the country to “buy” imports of intermediate goods on more favorable terms than if produced at home” (Meier, 1995, p. 459). The neoclassical theory is essentially supply oriented (Federici and Marconi, 2002), though the link between exports and growth can be traced from some earlier works. In his demand-oriented theory of growth, Kaldor (1970) identifies foreign demand as the ultimate constraint on growth in an open economy.

Compare this to:

The conventional trade theory seeks to explain the benefits from trade by contrasting the likely outcomes of free trade with those of autarky. Central to the neoclassical theory is the notion of the comparative advantage that, if exists, will lead to an efficient reallocation of international resources, largely due to specialization and the division of labor. Specialization in line with comparative advantage helps optimize the production of a trading country. In the conventional theory, the gains from trade come from the import side. However, exports have an indirect but pivotal role as “exports allow the country to ‘buy’ imports (of intermediate goods) on more favorable terms than if produced at home” (Meier, 1995, p. 459). The neoclassical theory is essentially supply-oriented (Federici and Marconi, 2002).
However, some earlier studies shed light on the exports- growth link. In his demand-oriented theory of growth, Kaldor (1970) identified foreign demand as the ultimate constraint of growth in an open economy.
Mohammad Hossain & Neil Dias Karunaratne (2004) “EXPORTS AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN BANGLADESH: Has Manufacturing Exports Become a New Engine of Export-Led Growth?” International Trade Journal, 18(4): 303-334, at p. 306.

From Agbetsiafa’s article, page 57:

The trade-led growth hypothesis has received its latest boost from the endogenous growth theory which identifies four major sources of growth, namely, (i) increases in accumulation of capital goods; (ii) improvements in the quality of the labor force; (iii) reallocation of resources from low to high-productivity sectors; and (iv) technical change (Durlauf et al., 1996).

Compare this to:

The new growth theory identifies four major sources of growth, namely,
a)  increases in accumulation of capital goods;
b)  improvements in the quality of the labor force;
c)  reallocation of resources from low- to high-productivity sectors; and
d)  technical change (Durlauf et al., 1996).
Mohammad Hossain & Neil Dias Karunaratne (2004) “EXPORTS AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN BANGLADESH: Has Manufacturing Exports Become a New Engine of Export-Led Growth?” International Trade Journal, 18(4): 303-334, at p. 307.

From Agbetsiafa’s article, page 57:

The two basic differences between the new growth theory and the neoclassical theory are: (a) various social and economic policies are tipped to affect the growth rate in the new growth theory, while in the neoclassical theory, these policies affect only the level of real income not the growth rate; and (b) in the neoclassical theory, physical capital is deemed as a transitory source of growth as it is subject to diminishing returns, while in the new growth theory, both physical and human capital are assumed to exhibit increasing returns to scale.

Compare this to:

Two basic differences between the new growth theory and the neoclassical theory are:
a)  in the new growth theory, various social and economic policies are tipped to affect the growth rate, while in the neoclassical theory, these policies affect only the level of real income not the growth rate; and
b)  in the neoclassical theory, physical capital is deemed as a transitory source of growth as it is subject to diminishing returns to scale while in the new growth theory, both physical and human capital are assumed to exhibit increasing returns to scale.
Mohammad Hossain & Neil Dias Karunaratne (2004) “EXPORTS AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN BANGLADESH: Has Manufacturing Exports Become a New Engine of Export-Led Growth?” International Trade Journal, 18(4): 303-334, at p. 307.

From Agbetsiafa’s article, page 57:

Roemer explains the poorness of a developing country in terms of its lack of physical objects such as factories, and roads (`Object gaps’) and lack of ideas or knowledge (`Idea gaps’) to create values compared to a developed country. An object gap is manifested in savings and capital accumulation while an idea gap includes insights about packaging, marketing, distribution, payment systems, quality control as well as the technology gap among others.

Compare this to:

Romer (1993) also held a similar view, and explains the poorness of a developingcountryintermsofitslackofphysicalobjectssuchas factories and roads (“object gaps”) and lack of ideas or knowledge (“idea gaps”) to create values compared to a developed country. An object gap is manifested in savings and accumulation while an idea gap “directs to the patterns of interaction and communi cationbetweenadevelopingcountryandtherestoftheworld” (Romer, 1993, p. 544). Idea gaps include insights about packag- ing, marketing, distribution, payment systems, quality control, and the technology gap, among other things.
Mohammad Hossain & Neil Dias Karunaratne (2004) “EXPORTS AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN BANGLADESH: Has Manufacturing Exports Become a New Engine of Export-Led Growth?” International Trade Journal, 18(4): 303-334, at p.308.

From Agbetsiafa’s article, page 57-58:

Support for the trade-led growth hypothesis is not, however, universal. Young (1991) argues that learning by doing effects may slow down at later stages of economic development and can even stop eventually if not reinforced by new technical progress. This echoes the general sentiment that in an uncertain world market, reliance on exports alone may not necessarily lead to a sustained long-term growth in a developing country and that the markets in the industrialized world may not be large enough to absorb these additional exports from the developing countries (Adelman, 1984; Cline, 1984).

Compare this to:

The support for the export-led growth theory is not, however, universal. Young(1991) argued that the learning by doing effects may slow down at later stages and can even stop ultimately if not reinforced by new technical progress. Some argue that, in an uncertain world market, reliance on exports may not lead to a sustained long-term growth in a developing country and that the markets in the developed world may not be large enough to house additional exports from the developing countries (Adelman, 1984; Cline, 1984).
Mohammad Hossain & Neil Dias Karunaratne (2004) “EXPORTS AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN BANGLADESH: Has Manufacturing Exports Become a New Engine of Export-Led Growth?” International Trade Journal, 18(4): 303-334, at p.308.

From Agbetsiafa’s article, page 59:

Similarly, in only 10 of the 102 time-series studies, the findings indicate no clear causal relationship between exports and growth. In about as many cases, the evidence supports only the growth-led trade hypothesis.

Compare this to:

10 out of the 102 time- series studies, the findings indicate no clear causal relationship between exports and growth. In about as many cases, the evidence supports only the growth-led export hypothesis. All other studies support the export-led growth hypothesis, of which a total of 12 suggest bi-directional causality.
Mohammad Hossain & Neil Dias Karunaratne (2004) “EXPORTS AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN BANGLADESH: Has Manufacturing Exports Become a New Engine of Export-Led Growth?” International Trade Journal, 18(4): 303-334, at p.309.

From Agbetsiafa’s article, page 59:

A prerequisite in applying the co-integration procedure is to test the unit root properties of the series. As a next step, a unit root test is employed to check if the considered time series are stationary, i.e. I(0), or first difference-stationary, i.e. I(1). The existence of unit roots in the considered series may contaminate the findings of the causality analyses because of the properties of non-stationary time series.   

Compare this to:

As a next step, a unit root test is employed to check if the considered time series are stationary, i.e. I(0), or first difference-stationary, i.e. I(1). The existence of unit roots in the considered series may contaminate the findings of our causality analyses because of the properties of nonstationary time series.

From Agbetsiafa’s article, page 59:

The PP unit root test is also used based on Choi and Chung (1995) who argue that this test is more powerful when low sampling frequency data, i.e. annual data is used, compared to the standard unit root tests developed by Dickey and Fuller (1979, 1981) on which the Phillips and Perron (1988) builds.

Compare this to:

... based on Choi and Chung (1995) who argue that this test is more powerful when low sampling frequency data, i.e. annual data is used, compared to the standard unit root tests developed by Dickey and Fuller (1979, 1981) on which the PP test builds.



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